Booster Client Update - The Irrational Investor
Booster Client Update - The Irrational Investor
Humans are irrational by nature – we’re afraid of mice, we play the lottery, and we perceive things to be superior if they have a higher price. For years both economic and finance theory ignored this fact and instead assumed everyone acted rationally when making financial decisions. But recently there has been a new train of thought – human emotion can have an impact on financial markets as much as any other aspect of life.
Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.
- Warren Buffet
One of the most common examples of irrational financial decisions is a principle called mental accounting. That’s when people separate their money into different buckets based on different, subjective criteria. For example, people are more likely to spend a bonus on luxury goods whereas their regular salary is carefully budgeted. To avoid this irrational behaviour, the key thing is to remember money is fungible (or interchangeable). It has the same value no matter how it is earned, and it’s intended use should be considered irrelevant of where it came from.
It’s not just individual financial decisions that are prone to irrational behaviour, financial markets are affected as well. Herd behaviour is one example of this. That’s when people follow others just simply because they don’t want to miss out. It’s the kind of behaviour that leads to bubbles occasionally forming in certain assets and is the principle behind Warren Buffet’s famous quote “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy only when others are fearful”. This is also one of our key philosophies at Booster – when too many people are either overly optimistic or overly pessimistic, we are more inclined to look for opportunities to go against the herd. Subject to a careful assessment of the right timing for any changes, this philosophy can not only have a positive impact on returns but it can also add to the consistency of returns over time.
Summary of Key Portfolio Changes
Global Shares – Increased Allocation
- During October, we made another measured increase to global shares allocations. The main story driving this allocation is the world economy’s outlook for expansion picking up solidly across most global markets. This economic performance is being coupled with corporate earnings showing robust growth, and continued high business and consumer confidence.
- While risks are ever-present and will return at some point, these pillars are supporting global equity markets performance and support global shares outperforming their long run averages over the medium term.
Fisher Investment’s Global Focused Strategy
- During the month Fisher Investments continued their reduction to US holdings while increasing exposure to other countries, mainly Europe and Japan. The most material change was the addition of Japanese robotics business FANUC Corporation.
- FANUC is the world’s leading manufacturer of industrial robots and should benefit from growing robotics and automation demand resulting from better than expected economic expansion. Its diverse geographical revenue streams, history as a proven innovator, high margins and relatively high barriers to entry should continue to provide a platform for the company to outperform.
Unlocking Financial Harmony: Navigating the Symphony of Life with Mindfulness
In the hustle and bustle of daily life, the concept of mindfulness often finds its place in discussions about mental health and stress reduction. However, its impact on financial wellbeing is a hidden gem worth exploring.
A 2021 survey by the New Zealand Retirement Commission ranked New Zealand’s overall financial wellbeing as 61 out of 100. In this case, financial wellbeing is defined as “a combination of meeting commitments, being financially comfortable, and resilient for the future.” The area in which New Zealand scored the lowest was preparedness for retirement, with a 43 out of 100 which highlights that around one in three New Zealanders are concerned that they will not have adequate savings to last through their retirement.
Finding Your Financial Ikigai: The Japanese Art of a Balanced & Purposeful Life
In a world that often measures success in financial terms, the Japanese concept of Ikigai offers a refreshing perspective. Transcending the boundaries of culture and geography, this philosophy loosely translates as "a reason for being". Ikigai is a convergence of what you love, what you're good at, what the world needs, and what you can be paid for. It's an approach that represents a broader view of prosperity, encompassing joy, purpose, and contentment. As financial advisers, we find this particularly compelling. This article delves deeper into how Ikigai can not only enrich your life but also inform your financial decisions for a more fulfilling journey.