Market & Portfolio Update - July 2024
The Global shares market had a positive month in July, gaining +4% in New Zealand dollar terms. In the US, over half of companies in the S&P500 index have released their latest earnings report, with over two-thirds beating analysts’ expectations. Ten of the eleven sectors in the US finished higher, with Technology being the only sector finishing the month lower.
US inflation crept below 3% for the first time since June 2023, breaking through the 3-4% range it has been hovering in for the last twelve months. Falling inflation and signs of rising unemployment have heightened investor expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2024 and 2025.
New Zealand’s share market had a strong month, up 5.8% in July. Many companies that are sensitive to interest rates had a strong month after the Reserve Bank of NewZealand hinted at potential rate cuts before the end of the year. While the Official Cash Rate was held at 5.50% in July, the Reserve Bank acknowledged monetary policy had significantly reduced inflation and expected it to return to within the 1-3% target range in the coming months. This was a significant change in tone and shifted many investors’ expectations of rate cuts as the Reserve Bank had considered hiking rates back in May.
Market & Portfolio Update: July 2026
Early in the month, renewed tension in the Middle East briefly pushed Brent crude oil above US$100 a barrel, which lifted energy prices and brought inflation concerns back into focus.
Lifetime Book Club: Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz
In The Paradox of Choice, psychologist Barry Schwartz explores a curious feature of modern life: while freedom and choice are undoubtedly valuable, there can come a point where having more options makes decisions harder, increases our expectations and leaves us questioning whether we made the right choice at all.
From what to buy and where to eat to decisions about careers, relationships and money, Schwartz looks at the hidden mental cost of constantly comparing our options – and makes the case that sometimes, simplifying our choices can leave us better off.