Market & Portfolio Update – October 2024
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand reduced the Official Cash Rate from 5.25% to 4.75% in October. While an interest rate cut was widely expected, the extent of the cut was being debated leading up to the announcement. The Reserve Bank felt inflation was comfortably converging to the midpoint of their 1-3% inflation target and decided on a 0.50% interest rate cut. The market was relatively pleased with the size of this cut, helping the NZX50 finish the month up a modest +1.7%.
The global share market had a positive month, up +1.6%. The US market had a flat month, with investors preparing themselves for the US election. While the election result isn’t expected to impact markets in the long term, certain industries directly impacted by different policies are expected to portray short-term movement depending on the election result.
Australia reported inflation of 2.8%, with the market expecting interest rates to remain steady at 4.35% for a while as the Reserve Bank still wants to see significant progress on their underlying inflation.
Market & Portfolio Update - January 2026
After strong gains in 2025, the global share market (represented by the MSCI World Gross Index) took a breather in January, returning 0.1% in NZ dollar terms. While the ‘Magnificent 7’ (the seven largest US-listed companies, including Google, Microsoft & Apple) have been large drivers behind the recent gains seen from the US share market, January told a different story. There appeared to be ‘catch-up’ trade where investors moved out of concentrated tech positions and into the rest of the market, with the Russell 2000 index (a widely regarded proxy for smaller US companies) having a strong month. This was generally seen as improving confidence in the broader US economy.
Interest Rate Averaging: A Smarter Way to Manage Mortgage Risk
When it comes to mortgages, most people focus on one thing, getting the lowest interest rate.
But the lowest rate today doesn’t always lead to the best outcome over time.
Interest Rate Averaging is a strategy designed to reduce risk, smooth cashflow, and create flexibility, rather than trying to perfectly time interest rates, which no one can do consistently.