Market & Portfolio Update – October 2024
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand reduced the Official Cash Rate from 5.25% to 4.75% in October. While an interest rate cut was widely expected, the extent of the cut was being debated leading up to the announcement. The Reserve Bank felt inflation was comfortably converging to the midpoint of their 1-3% inflation target and decided on a 0.50% interest rate cut. The market was relatively pleased with the size of this cut, helping the NZX50 finish the month up a modest +1.7%.
The global share market had a positive month, up +1.6%. The US market had a flat month, with investors preparing themselves for the US election. While the election result isn’t expected to impact markets in the long term, certain industries directly impacted by different policies are expected to portray short-term movement depending on the election result.
Australia reported inflation of 2.8%, with the market expecting interest rates to remain steady at 4.35% for a while as the Reserve Bank still wants to see significant progress on their underlying inflation.
Market & Portfolio Update: February 2026
The global share market (represented by the MSCI World Gross Index) returned +1.4% in New Zealand dollar terms, despite many listed software companies facing pressure during the month. Investors are questioning how durable some software companies’ competitive advantages really are, as developments in artificial intelligence (AI) may make it easier to replicate their software. Nonetheless, the broader market tone was more resilient as investors continued to favour industries related to AI infrastructure.
Lifetime Book Club: The Almanack of Naval Ravikant by Eric Jorgenson
In a world that often confuses busyness with success and income with wealth, this book offers a different perspective. One that suggests true wealth is freedom. Freedom over your time. Freedom over your decisions. Freedom to live life on your own terms.