Market & Portfolio Update - October 2021
Global share markets rebounded and had their best month of the year – up 5.5% on average. A mix of positive economic data and company announcements continued to give investors confidence in the current cycle. Demand from consumers continues to be strong and supply chains are struggling to keep up, while also facing the challenges of Covid-disruptions.
Bonds prices fell slightly over the month as developed economies saw short term interest rates rise as inflation continues to surpass expectations. In New Zealand, the RBNZ raised the OCR by 0.25%, and market expectations are for a further increase in November. Similarly, central banks in England, Canada, and Australia are reducing their stimulus programmes and are hinting at raising interest rates to combat rising inflation.
The New Zealand share market ended the month down 1.3%, despite economic indicators remaining extremely strong. New Zealand unemployment rate fell to just 3.4% - equalling the reading in December 2007 and the lowest level since the early 1980s.
A look back at when the world feared the worst
On August 2, 1990, the world woke up to a grim headline: “Iraq Invades Kuwait; Oil Prices Soar, Markets Plunge.”
Saddam Hussein's forces had crossed into Kuwait, triggering fears of a prolonged conflict in the oil-rich Middle East.
The immediate market reaction was swift and severe.
Lifetime Book Club: The Let Them Theory
In a world where we spend so much energy trying to control outcomes, manage other people’s opinions, and keep everything on track, this book offers a different approach. One that suggests peace comes not from controlling more, but from letting go.