Market & Portfolio Update - March 2022
Global share markets gained 3% following strong economic data releases, investors understanding the economic implications of the Russian invasion better, and more clarity around the Federal Reserve’s hiking path over the remainder of 2022. The New Zealand share market gained as well, however, the Australian market was the strongest performer returning over 6% for the month. The Australian market has a higher allocation to commodity producers such as iron ore miners and natural gas, which have performed well as global commodity prices have risen since the war began.
The impacts of the war continue to keep commodity prices elevated, and inflation is rising globally. Here in New Zealand, the Reserve Bank’s job is to maintain price stability and inflation at 2% over the long term. With inflation running considerably higher than that at the moment, we are seeing an increased chance of the RBNZ raising interest rates by 0.5% at their next meeting.
Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 0.25%, with eight further hikes (2.2% in total) expected by the markets for the remainder of 2022. The Fed also discussed plans to reduce its $9 Trillion balance sheet over the coming months.
A look back at when the world feared the worst
On August 2, 1990, the world woke up to a grim headline: “Iraq Invades Kuwait; Oil Prices Soar, Markets Plunge.”
Saddam Hussein's forces had crossed into Kuwait, triggering fears of a prolonged conflict in the oil-rich Middle East.
The immediate market reaction was swift and severe.
Lifetime Book Club: The Let Them Theory
In a world where we spend so much energy trying to control outcomes, manage other people’s opinions, and keep everything on track, this book offers a different approach. One that suggests peace comes not from controlling more, but from letting go.