Market & Portfolio Update - June 2024
Global share markets had another positive month, ending June up 2.9%. This caps off a strong first half of the year, with global share markets up 16% year to date. The technology and semiconductor sectors have been large contributors to the market gains on the back of robust earnings and rapid increase in spending on data centres and semiconductor chips that help train and produce AI Models.
Bond markets were relatively muted in June, with both New Zealand and global benchmarks relatively flat for the month. Uncertainty remains in the timing of central bank rate cuts, although The Reserve Bank of New Zealand acknowledged inflation may reach their 1-3% target band earlier than expected, potentially indicating a rate cut before the end of 2024.
New Zealand’s first quarter GDP number was released during the month, revealing a 0.2% expansion of the economy. Behind the headline GDP number reveals stark differences between sectors. The utilities sector saw the strongest growth, while the construction industry was weakest and actually contracted during the quarter.
A look back at when the world feared the worst
On August 2, 1990, the world woke up to a grim headline: “Iraq Invades Kuwait; Oil Prices Soar, Markets Plunge.”
Saddam Hussein's forces had crossed into Kuwait, triggering fears of a prolonged conflict in the oil-rich Middle East.
The immediate market reaction was swift and severe.
Lifetime Book Club: The Let Them Theory
In a world where we spend so much energy trying to control outcomes, manage other people’s opinions, and keep everything on track, this book offers a different approach. One that suggests peace comes not from controlling more, but from letting go.