Market & Portfolio Update - June 2023
Global share markets had another strong month in June, rising 3.7% in New Zealand dollar terms. Investors were encouraged by a sharp drop in year-on-year inflation in the US of 4.0% - still above target but substantially lower than the 9.1% recorded in June 2022.
International bond markets were flat over the month as central banks transitioned from hiking their respective policy rates to pausing to evaluate incoming data. This is a signal that interest rates globally may be nearing their peak. The US Federal Reserve maintained their policy rate at 5.25%, the first pause after 10 consecutive hikes over the past 15 months. This should be supportive of bond returns looking forward.
The first half of the year has started off strongly for financial markets, regaining the lost ground they experienced in 2022. Global share markets have led the way, up 19% in New Zealand dollar terms. This highlights the importance of staying invested during volatile times and not focusing on news headlines which tend to focus on negatives.
A look back at when the world feared the worst
On August 2, 1990, the world woke up to a grim headline: “Iraq Invades Kuwait; Oil Prices Soar, Markets Plunge.”
Saddam Hussein's forces had crossed into Kuwait, triggering fears of a prolonged conflict in the oil-rich Middle East.
The immediate market reaction was swift and severe.
Lifetime Book Club: The Let Them Theory
In a world where we spend so much energy trying to control outcomes, manage other people’s opinions, and keep everything on track, this book offers a different approach. One that suggests peace comes not from controlling more, but from letting go.