Market & Portfolio Update - January 2025
Global share markets had a positive month, ending December up +0.9% in local currency terms. This caps off a strong year, with global share markets up +26% in 2024.
The US was the primary driver of global returns, as inflation cooled and consumer spending remained strong throughout the year. Investors were also bullish on strong earnings growth for tech companies, and stocks surged following Donald Trump’s re-election in November.
The New Zealand share market also had a strong year, ending up +12% in 2024 – its best performance since 2020. Some of this gain is attributable to investors anticipating a more positive business environment. Starting with an initial cut in August, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut rates by a total of 1.25% during the year. These cuts were in response to domestic inflation falling from 4.7% to 2.2% in 2024, back within the RBNZ’s target range of 1-3%.
Market & Portfolio Update - January 2026
After strong gains in 2025, the global share market (represented by the MSCI World Gross Index) took a breather in January, returning 0.1% in NZ dollar terms. While the ‘Magnificent 7’ (the seven largest US-listed companies, including Google, Microsoft & Apple) have been large drivers behind the recent gains seen from the US share market, January told a different story. There appeared to be ‘catch-up’ trade where investors moved out of concentrated tech positions and into the rest of the market, with the Russell 2000 index (a widely regarded proxy for smaller US companies) having a strong month. This was generally seen as improving confidence in the broader US economy.
Interest Rate Averaging: A Smarter Way to Manage Mortgage Risk
When it comes to mortgages, most people focus on one thing, getting the lowest interest rate.
But the lowest rate today doesn’t always lead to the best outcome over time.
Interest Rate Averaging is a strategy designed to reduce risk, smooth cashflow, and create flexibility, rather than trying to perfectly time interest rates, which no one can do consistently.