Market & Portfolio Update - April 2023
Global share markets had another positive month in April, rising 1.6% in local currency terms, as investors were encouraged by the latest round of company financial results. Of the companies that have reported to date, the majority have exceeded earnings expectations, with particular strength seen in large tech names such as Alphabet and Meta.
Following the collapse of two small regional US banks in March, we saw a third US regional bank (First Republic) come under pressure toward the end of April. Ultimately the US regulators took control of First Republic Bank and sold it to the much larger and well-capitalised J.P Morgan.
New Zealand’s annual inflation rate fell from 7.2% to 6.7% in the first quarter of the year. While still well above the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) target rate of 1 – 3%, it was lower than many economists were expecting.
Undeterred by the better-than-expected inflation rate, the RBNZ raised the OCR an additional 0.5%, taking New Zealand’s benchmark interest rate to 5.25%. Current market expectations are for one more hike to 5.5%.
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The global share market (represented by the MSCI World Gross Index) returned +1.4% in New Zealand dollar terms, despite many listed software companies facing pressure during the month. Investors are questioning how durable some software companies’ competitive advantages really are, as developments in artificial intelligence (AI) may make it easier to replicate their software. Nonetheless, the broader market tone was more resilient as investors continued to favour industries related to AI infrastructure.
Lifetime Book Club: The Almanack of Naval Ravikant by Eric Jorgenson
In a world that often confuses busyness with success and income with wealth, this book offers a different perspective. One that suggests true wealth is freedom. Freedom over your time. Freedom over your decisions. Freedom to live life on your own terms.